Economist speak or cluelessness
July 2, 2008 – 9:18 amI came across this beautiful quote the other day in Michael Pettis’ Blog:
Needless to say 80% is a pretty high cost of funding, and almost certainly requires rising real estate prices in order to be economically viable. In case of an economic contraction or declining real estate prices, I would assume that a lot of these real estate developers would face severe debt-servicing difficulties. We discussed what would happen in the case of a default – besides the proverbial visit by the man with a baseball bat he suggested, with a completely straight face, it was also likely that one of your kids might be kidnapped.
This kind of collection process strikes me as a reasonably strong argument for lower default rates in the Chinese informal banking sector
I must say, I had heard Pettis and other economists talking about the “informal banking sector” several times previously, and I never put together that I should replace term “informal banking sector” with “the mob.” I’m not sure if that’s personal cluelessness (what else could it mean?) or whether other people had a similar problems.
The Economist recently had a piece on the Japanese pseudo-formal banking sector, which has recently become formalized to prevent life insurance+suicide equaling debt repayment…
God..

One Response to “Economist speak or cluelessness”
I’m ignorant of the informal banking sector in China, perhaps could you elaborate more on the subject? If you took out a loan from the informal banking sector in China and didn’t repay, what would happen?
By mthmchris on Jul 3, 2008